BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Appalachian State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Appalachian State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.80 |
32.01 (-0.79) |
33.92 |
31.79 (-2.12) |
31.79 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
440.70 |
430.79 (-9.91) |
441.92 |
433.77 (-8.15) |
433.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.22 |
6.12 (-0.10) |
6.50 |
6.37 (-0.13) |
6.37 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.80 |
35.45 (+3.65) |
28.75 |
32.97 (+4.22) |
32.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
381.00 |
377.82 (-3.18) |
372.08 |
392.63 (+20.55) |
392.63 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.73 |
5.79 (+0.06) |
5.76 |
6.13 (+0.36) |
6.13 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Gardner-Webb |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@North Carolina |
32.85 |
48.26 |
+15.41 |
81.12 |
25.29% |
L 34-40 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
East Carolina |
33.85 |
16.98 |
-16.87 |
50.83 |
77.06% |
W 43-28 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Wyoming |
28.71 |
32.19 |
+3.48 |
60.90 |
44.42% |
L 19-22 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
43.89 |
18.80 |
-25.10 |
62.69 |
90.26% |
W 41-40 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-10 |
Coastal Carolina |
35.90 |
27.45 |
-8.45 |
63.35 |
63.55% |
L 24-27 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Old Dominion |
33.52 |
26.51 |
-7.00 |
60.03 |
61.24% |
L 21-28 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Southern Mississippi |
48.59 |
25.60 |
-22.99 |
74.19 |
86.87% |
W 48-38 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Marshall |
38.52 |
27.21 |
-11.31 |
65.72 |
68.14% |
W 31-9 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Georgia State |
37.26 |
28.77 |
-8.49 |
66.04 |
63.62% |
W 42-14 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@James Madison |
26.76 |
41.24 |
+14.48 |
68.00 |
26.77% |
W 26-23 |
7-4 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Georgia Southern |
44.85 |
32.26 |
-12.59 |
77.10 |
70.19% |
W 55-27 |
8-4 |
| 2023-12-02 |
@Troy |
20.34 |
32.98 |
+12.64 |
53.32 |
29.73% |
L 23-49 |
8-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-16 |
Miami (OH) |
28.72 |
22.11 |
-6.61 |
50.83 |
60.60% |
W 13-9 |
9-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-12 |
0.01% |
| 3-11 |
0.06% |
| 4-10 |
0.41% |
| 5-9 |
1.94% |
| 6-8 |
6.21% |
| 7-7 |
14.21% |
| 8-6 |
22.28% |
| 9-5 |
24.14% |
| 10-4 |
18.06% |
| 11-3 |
9.23% |
| 12-2 |
2.89% |
| 13-1 |
0.53% |
| 14-0 |
0.04% |